2008 Week 6 (12-13 Oct) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 71%  17 Minnesota               12 32.0,    30 Detroit                 10 23.5
 64%  22 New Orleans             34 29.1,    27 Oakland                  3 23.7
 64%  15 New York Jets           26 28.6,    25 Cincinnati              14 23.2
 61%   5 Indianapolis            31 23.6,    10 Baltimore                3 20.2
 59%  12 Green Bay               27 28.2,    26 Seattle                 17 26.1
 55%  14 Tampa Bay               27 23.1,     7 Carolina                 3 21.9
 54%   8 Philadelphia            40 22.8,    20 San Francisco           26 21.8
 53%  13 Atlanta                 22 24.9,     6 Chicago                 20 24.2

 49%  11 Jacksonville            24 25.6,    21 Denver                  17 25.8
 39%  18 Arizona                 30 26.0,     2 Dallas                  24 29.4
 38%  19 San Diego               30 27.7,     1 New England             10 31.7
 37%  29 St. Louis               19 22.6,    23 Washington              17 27.4
 33%  31 Houston                 29 24.6,    24 Miami                   28 32.1
 19%  32 Cleveland               35 19.5,     3 New York Giants         14 35.1

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                5 1.47   7 0.68   1 1.42   1 0.00   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):  14   8   8.6 0.93

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: exact predicted scores are not released until after game time.

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