2010 Week 6 (17-18 Oct) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred
 62%   7 Pittsburgh              28 19.2,    22 Cleveland               10 11.8
 61%  13 New York Giants         28 24.6,    30 Detroit                 20 17.2
 60%  25 San Francisco           17 18.6,    29 Oakland                  9 14.8
 60%  11 Philadelphia            31 19.8,     8 Atlanta                 17 17.6
 60%   5 Indianapolis            27 19.1,    23 Washington              24 16.3
 60%   1 Tennessee               30 20.2,    28 Jacksonville             3 17.5
 59%  17 Houston                 35 22.6,    19 Kansas City             31 18.6
 59%  12 Minnesota               24 21.1,    18 Dallas                  21 17.6
 59%   4 New England             23 21.9,     2 Baltimore               20 17.3
 55%   6 New York Jets           24 19.2,    24 Denver                  20 18.3

 43%  16 New Orleans             31 18.6,    14 Tampa Bay                6 19.7
 41%  27 Seattle                 23 16.0,    21 Chicago                 20 19.5
 41%  15 Miami                   23 18.5,     9 Green Bay               20 23.8
 40%  32 St. Louis               20 16.7,     3 San Diego               17 24.4

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
               12 1.13   2 1.62   0 0.00   0 0.00   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):  14  10   8.3 1.20

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: exact predicted scores are not released until after game time.

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