prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
92% 9 New York Jets 26 27.6, 25 Cincinnati 10 16.4
87% 12 New York Giants 24 29.2, 22 Jacksonville 20 22.2
87% 7 Pittsburgh 19 26.9, 24 Buffalo 16 19.7
87% 3 Baltimore 17 25.0, 14 Tampa Bay 10 17.1
87% 1 New England 45 32.5, 30 Detroit 24 21.9
86% 8 New Orleans 30 28.1, 23 Dallas 27 21.3
84% 20 Cleveland 24 21.4, 31 Carolina 23 15.8
71% 17 Kansas City 42 23.4, 28 Seattle 24 21.0
46% 18 Minnesota 17 21.0, 21 Washington 13 21.3
39% 11 Atlanta 20 23.6, 2 Green Bay 17 24.8
38% 27 San Francisco 27 23.3, 29 Arizona 6 24.5
38% 15 Miami 33 21.4, 16 Oakland 17 22.9
29% 13 Chicago 31 21.3, 5 Philadelphia 26 23.9
29% 6 San Diego 36 24.9, 4 Indianapolis 14 27.4
22% 32 St. Louis 36 20.0, 26 Denver 33 25.3
21% 19 Houston 20 23.4, 10 Tennessee 0 27.4
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
1 0.00 3 0.00 5 0.27 6 1.16 1 1.09 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 16 8 12.2 0.66
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net