prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
91% 3 Green Bay 34 26.9, 23 San Francisco 16 15.7
90% 7 New Orleans 34 28.7, 26 Cincinnati 30 20.4
88% 12 New York Giants 31 26.9, 22 Washington 7 20.1
87% 16 Kansas City 10 30.4, 28 Denver 6 22.5
87% 8 Philadelphia 34 30.0, 15 Houston 24 22.9
85% 18 Minnesota 38 25.9, 25 Buffalo 14 20.0
80% 13 Chicago 24 26.4, 29 Detroit 20 21.0
80% 1 New England 45 26.9, 4 New York Jets 3 22.5
76% 27 Seattle 31 21.6, 31 Carolina 14 17.9
63% 10 Atlanta 28 22.7, 17 Tampa Bay 24 21.5
31% 32 St. Louis 19 22.6, 30 Arizona 6 25.4
31% 5 Pittsburgh 13 20.3, 6 Baltimore 10 22.4
23% 19 Cleveland 13 19.1, 14 Miami 10 22.8
12% 21 Jacksonville 17 19.6, 11 Tennessee 6 27.0
10% 20 Oakland 28 18.9, 2 San Diego 13 29.3
8% 24 Dallas 38 20.6, 9 Indianapolis 35 30.4
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
0 0.00 3 0.50 4 0.96 7 0.81 2 0.55 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 16 10 13.1 0.76
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net