prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
77% 7 Baltimore 30 23.3, 18 Kansas City 7 19.0
39% 6 Green Bay 21 25.1, 8 Philadelphia 16 26.4
19% 11 New York Jets 17 21.6, 5 Indianapolis 16 26.3
14% 28 Seattle 41 20.2, 9 New Orleans 36 29.0
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
0 0.00 1 0.00 1 1.31 2 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 4 1 3.0 0.33
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net