23 Jan 2012: Current model rankings (NFL) for the 2011 season

Rankings determined from model fit at the current week in the season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  1   2 12.2  3.1 New England               17  3   0 11.5  3.1 Dallas                  
  2  1   2 12.0  3.1 Green Bay                 18  4   0 11.3  3.2 Cincinnati              
  3  1   2 12.1  3.0 New Orleans               19  7   0 11.4  3.1 Indianapolis            
  4  1   1 11.5  3.4 Pittsburgh                20  2   0 11.3  3.2 Carolina                
  5  5   1 11.5  3.4 Baltimore                 21  3   0 11.3  3.1 Minnesota               
  6  5   1 11.8  3.1 San Diego                 22  2   0 11.3  3.1 Oakland                 
  7  2   1 11.7  3.2 New York Giants           23  3   0 11.3  3.1 Buffalo                 
  8  2   1 11.7  3.2 Philadelphia              24  2   0 11.2  3.2 Seattle                 
  9  5   1 11.5  3.3 New York Jets             25  2   0 11.1  3.2 Washington              
 10  2   1 11.6  3.2 Atlanta                   26  2   0 11.1  3.2 Jacksonville            
 11  2   0 11.5  3.2 Houston                   27  2   0 11.3  3.0 Denver                  
 12  2   0 11.4  3.3 Tennessee                 28  2   0 11.3  3.0 Arizona                 
 13  5   0 11.3  3.3 Chicago                   29  2   0 11.0  3.3 Cleveland               
 14  4   0 11.3  3.3 San Francisco             30  1   0 11.2  3.1 Tampa Bay               
 15  7   0 11.7  3.0 Detroit                   31  2   0 10.9  3.3 Kansas City             
 16  2   0 11.3  3.3 Miami                     32  1  -1 10.7  3.2 St. Louis               

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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