2011 Week 4 (2-3 Oct) Forecast for the National Football League

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

80-90% chance of victory:

   3 Green Bay                 over   27 Denver                     35.0 to 17.5

70-80% chance of victory:

   8 Philadelphia              over   25 San Francisco              28.0 to 17.5
   2 Baltimore                 over    6 New York Jets              24.5 to 17.5

60-70% chance of victory:

  14 Chicago                   over   26 Carolina                   21.0 to 14.0
  20 Washington                over   32 St. Louis                  24.5 to 17.5
   4 New Orleans               over   28 Jacksonville               31.5 to 21.0
  12 New York Giants           over   29 Arizona                    28.0 to 21.0
  15 Atlanta                   over   30 Seattle                    24.5 to 21.0
   1 New England               over   17 Oakland                    31.5 to 24.5

50-60% chance of victory:

  16 Dallas                    over   13 Detroit                    28.0 to 28.0
   7 Buffalo                   over   24 Cincinnati                 28.0 to 21.0
  10 Tennessee                 over   22 Cleveland                  21.0 to 17.5
  21 Minnesota                 over   31 Kansas City                24.5 to 21.0
   5 Pittsburgh                over    9 Houston                    24.5 to 21.0
  11 San Diego                 over   23 Miami                      28.0 to 17.5
  18 Tampa Bay                 over   19 Indianapolis               24.5 to 21.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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