2011 Week 7 (23-24 Oct) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 88%  17 Dallas                  34 30.2,    32 St. Louis                7 13.7
 77%   5 New Orleans             62 33.9,    22 Indianapolis             7 23.0
 77%   4 Pittsburgh              32 29.7,    31 Arizona                 20 16.8
 72%   3 Green Bay               33 27.6,    23 Minnesota               27 20.0
 63%   6 New York Jets           27 25.5,     7 San Diego               21 21.2
 58%  25 Cleveland                6 22.9,    29 Seattle                  3 19.6
 53%  11 Chicago                 24 21.4,    20 Tampa Bay               18 20.6
 51%  26 Carolina                33 19.7,    21 Washington              20 19.5

 48%   9 Atlanta                 23 26.0,    13 Detroit                 16 26.6
 35%  27 Denver                  18 21.0,    24 Miami                   15 26.0
 34%  14 Houston                 41 20.5,    10 Tennessee                7 25.3
 18%  30 Kansas City             28 19.1,    18 Oakland                  0 29.4
 17%  28 Jacksonville            12 14.2,     2 Baltimore                7 25.9

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                4 1.40   3 0.52   3 1.32   3 0.39   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):  13   8   8.9 0.90

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: exact predicted scores are not released until after game time.

Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page

Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net