2012 Week 10 (8-12 Nov) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 90%   1 New England             37 37.8,    25 Buffalo                 31 19.7
 76%  10 San Francisco           24 28.9,    32 St. Louis               24 11.3
 75%   7 Pittsburgh              16 29.5,    30 Kansas City             13 13.8
 72%   9 Baltimore               55 32.5,    28 Oakland                 20 18.8
 58%  17 Seattle                 28 22.5,    14 New York Jets            7 19.7
 57%  23 Indianapolis            27 25.3,    31 Jacksonville            10 22.6
 57%  22 Minnesota               34 29.6,    15 Detroit                 24 26.7
 57%  12 Denver                  36 26.9,    29 Carolina                14 21.8

 47%  11 New Orleans             31 28.3,     6 Atlanta                 27 28.8
 43%  21 Tennessee               37 20.3,    13 Miami                    3 26.8
 43%  20 Dallas                  38 20.9,    19 Philadelphia            23 25.0
 43%  18 Tampa Bay               34 24.7,     8 San Diego               24 27.5
 42%   4 Houston                 13 26.6,     5 Chicago                  6 28.6
 38%  16 Cincinnati              31 24.0,     2 New York Giants         13 30.7

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                9 0.78   1 0.00   3 0.90   0 0.00   1 1.11   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):  14   7   8.9 0.79

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: exact predicted scores are not released until after game time.

Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page

Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net