9 Feb 2014: Current model rankings (NFL) for the 2013 season

Rankings determined from model fit at the current week in the season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  2   2  7.3  7.5 New England               17  6   0  6.4  6.6 Kansas City             
  2  4   1  6.8  7.4 Seattle                   18  7   0  6.4  6.7 Arizona                 
  3  4   1  6.9  7.0 New Orleans               19  4   0  6.5  6.5 Chicago                 
  4  3   1  6.7  7.1 San Diego                 20  4   0  6.2  6.7 New York Jets           
  5  5   1  6.6  7.1 San Francisco             21  3   0  6.2  6.7 Miami                   
  6  4   1  6.6  7.0 Cincinnati                22  4   0  6.6  6.4 Dallas                  
  7  7   1  6.9  6.8 Green Bay                 23  3   0  6.5  6.4 Minnesota               
  8  5   1  6.7  7.0 Pittsburgh                24  6   0  6.4  6.4 Detroit                 
  9  4   0  6.7  6.8 Philadelphia              25  8   0  6.1  6.5 St. Louis               
 10  5   0  6.8  6.7 Denver                    26  3   0  6.1  6.5 Tampa Bay               
 11  8   0  6.4  6.9 Baltimore                 27  3   0  6.1  6.3 Buffalo                 
 12  4   0  6.6  6.7 Atlanta                   28  2   0  6.2  6.2 Washington              
 13  4   0  6.7  6.7 Indianapolis              29  7   0  6.4  6.0 Houston                 
 14  5   0  6.3  6.9 Carolina                  30  4   0  6.1  6.1 Cleveland               
 15  4   0  6.5  6.7 Tennessee                 31  2  -1  5.8  6.0 Jacksonville            
 16  5   0  6.3  6.7 New York Giants           32  1  -1  5.9  5.9 Oakland                 

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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