prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
87% 4 Green Bay 31 32.1, 27 Cleveland 13 17.6
84% 14 Atlanta 31 27.8, 29 Tampa Bay 23 17.0
69% 11 Kansas City 17 31.9, 30 Houston 16 19.0
68% 13 Carolina 30 23.2, 26 St. Louis 15 14.4
67% 12 San Diego 24 27.0, 32 Jacksonville 6 18.4
63% 28 New York Giants 23 28.5, 23 Minnesota 7 26.6
62% 6 Seattle 34 21.3, 21 Arizona 22 18.6
61% 7 Cincinnati 27 23.7, 19 Detroit 24 22.5
53% 18 Pittsburgh 19 20.0, 5 Baltimore 16 19.5
51% 8 Indianapolis 39 29.0, 3 Denver 33 28.8
44% 16 Dallas 17 27.8, 20 Philadelphia 3 28.5
38% 10 San Francisco 31 19.1, 15 Tennessee 17 21.4
37% 24 Washington 45 23.4, 9 Chicago 41 25.7
35% 22 New York Jets 30 17.7, 2 New England 27 24.5
32% 25 Buffalo 23 19.1, 17 Miami 21 26.5
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
3 1.24 10 0.93 0 0.00 2 1.17 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 15 10 9.8 1.02
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net