2014 Week 5 (2-6 Oct) Forecast for the National Football League

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

80-90% chance of victory:

  11 Philadelphia              over   30 St. Louis                  35.0 to 17.5

70-80% chance of victory:

   4 Green Bay                 over   21 Minnesota                  28.0 to 17.5
   7 Dallas                    over   23 Houston                    31.5 to 21.0
  14 Pittsburgh                over   32 Jacksonville               31.5 to 21.0
   6 San Diego                 over   28 New York Jets              31.5 to 14.0

60-70% chance of victory:

  17 Chicago                   over   29 Carolina                   24.5 to 21.0
  27 Tennessee                 over   24 Cleveland                  24.5 to 21.0
  18 New York Giants           over   15 Atlanta                    31.5 to 24.5
  19 New Orleans               over   25 Tampa Bay                  28.0 to 21.0
  13 Detroit                   over   20 Buffalo                    24.5 to 17.5
   2 Baltimore                 over   12 Indianapolis               28.0 to 24.5
   3 Denver                    over   10 Arizona                    24.5 to 21.0
   1 Cincinnati                over    8 New England                21.0 to 17.5
   5 Seattle                   over   26 Washington                 28.0 to 21.0

50-60% chance of victory:

  16 San Francisco             over    9 Kansas City                21.0 to 21.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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