9 Feb 2017: Average model rankings (NFL) for the 2016 season

Rankings determined from average of model fit over entire season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  1   2 13.8  6.4 New England               17  4   0 11.7  5.1 Carolina                
  2  3   1 12.2  5.9 Seattle                   18  5   0 11.8  5.0 Washington              
  3  3   1 11.9  5.8 Denver                    19  3   0 11.2  5.0 Miami                   
  4  4   1 12.6  5.7 Dallas                    20  6   0 12.7  4.8 New Orleans             
  5  2   1 12.5  5.7 Pittsburgh                21  7   0 11.9  4.9 San Diego               
  6  4   1 11.6  5.7 Kansas City               22  3   0 11.4  4.9 Tennessee               
  7  4   1 13.2  5.5 Atlanta                   23  3   0 11.0  4.9 Tampa Bay               
  8  4   0 11.6  5.4 Cincinnati                24  3   0 11.0  4.9 Detroit                 
  9  6   0 12.2  5.3 Arizona                   25 10   0 11.6  4.8 Oakland                 
 10  5   0 12.8  5.2 Green Bay                 26  2   0 10.3  4.8 Houston                 
 11  3   0 11.8  5.3 Philadelphia              27  5   0 10.1  4.7 New York Jets           
 12  6   0 11.5  5.3 Baltimore                 28  2   0  9.7  4.6 Los Angeles             
 13  4   0 11.2  5.3 Minnesota                 29  5   0 10.3  4.4 Chicago                 
 14  3   0 11.2  5.3 New York Giants           30  2   0 10.1  4.3 Jacksonville            
 15  6   0 11.7  5.1 Buffalo                   31  4  -1 10.3  3.9 San Francisco           
 16  3   0 12.2  5.0 Indianapolis              32  1  -1  9.6  3.8 Cleveland               

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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