2016 Week 4 (29 Sep - 3 Oct) Forecast for the National Football League

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

80-90% chance of victory:

   1 New England               over   15 Buffalo                    28.0 to 14.0

70-80% chance of victory:

  12 Baltimore                 over   26 Oakland                    24.5 to 17.5
   3 Denver                    over   30 Tampa Bay                  31.5 to 21.0
  14 San Diego                 over   27 New Orleans                35.0 to 24.5
   4 Minnesota                 over   16 New York Giants            24.5 to 14.0

60-70% chance of victory:

  11 Cincinnati                over   18 Miami                      24.5 to 17.5
  24 Indianapolis              over   31 Jacksonville               31.5 to 28.0
  19 Houston                   over   25 Tennessee                  21.0 to 14.0
  28 Washington                over   32 Cleveland                  31.5 to 24.5
   5 Seattle                   over   21 New York Jets              21.0 to 17.5
  23 Detroit                   over   29 Chicago                    28.0 to 28.0
  13 Arizona                   over   20 Los Angeles                24.5 to 17.5
   8 Pittsburgh                over    6 Kansas City                21.0 to 17.5

50-60% chance of victory:

  17 Atlanta                   over   10 Carolina                   28.0 to 28.0
  22 San Francisco             over    9 Dallas                     21.0 to 21.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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