2016 Week 5 (5-10 Oct) Forecast for the National Football League

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

80-90% chance of victory:

   3 New England               over   32 Cleveland                  31.5 to 17.5
   6 Pittsburgh                over   21 New York Jets              28.0 to 17.5
   1 Denver                    over   13 Atlanta                    28.0 to 17.5
   7 Green Bay                 over   19 New York Giants            31.5 to 21.0

70-80% chance of victory:

   4 Minnesota                 over   20 Houston                    24.5 to 10.5
  12 Carolina                  over   31 Tampa Bay                  38.5 to 21.0

60-70% chance of victory:

   2 Philadelphia              over   24 Detroit                    28.0 to 17.5
  23 Indianapolis              over   29 Chicago                    31.5 to 24.5
  18 Miami                     over   27 Tennessee                  24.5 to 17.5
  15 Baltimore                 over   28 Washington                 28.0 to 21.0
   9 Dallas                    over    8 Cincinnati                 21.0 to 17.5
  16 Los Angeles               over   10 Buffalo                    17.5 to 14.0

50-60% chance of victory:

  14 Arizona                   over   22 San Francisco              24.5 to 24.5
  26 Oakland                   over   17 San Diego                  24.5 to 24.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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