2016 Week 9 (3-7 Nov) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 85%   7 Kansas City             19 30.1,    30 Jacksonville            14 13.3
 81%   6 Dallas                  35 30.8,    32 Cleveland               10 19.4
 77%  15 San Diego               43 28.1,    24 Tennessee               35 20.1
 62%  18 Miami                   27 23.3,    21 New York Jets           23 18.7
 62%  11 Atlanta                 43 29.6,    29 Tampa Bay               28 23.8
 62%   5 Seattle                 31 23.5,    10 Buffalo                 25 17.7
 61%  14 Carolina                13 25.2,    27 Los Angeles             10 22.6
 60%  20 New Orleans             41 32.7,    31 San Francisco           23 28.1

 40%  17 Baltimore               21 20.4,     8 Pittsburgh              14 23.8
 39%  16 New York Giants         28 20.4,     3 Philadelphia            23 23.5
 37%  25 Oakland                 30 20.0,     2 Denver                  20 25.2
 17%  26 Indianapolis            31 24.2,    12 Green Bay               26 32.9
 15%  23 Detroit                 22 15.2,     4 Minnesota               16 26.3

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                0 0.00   8 1.02   1 1.30   4 0.60   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):  13   8   9.0 0.89

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: exact predicted scores are not released until after game time.

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