2016 Postseason: Wild Card (7-8 Jan) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 85%   2 Seattle                 26 28.0,    25 Detroit                  6 16.1
 81%   5 Pittsburgh              30 27.0,    19 Miami                   12 18.0
 64%  10 Green Bay               38 25.9,     9 New York Giants         13 20.2

 47%  26 Houston                 27 22.4,    23 Oakland                 14 22.8

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                1 0.00   1 1.56   0 0.00   2 1.20   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):   4   3   2.8 1.06

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: exact predicted scores are not released until after game time.

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