22 Jan 2018: Average model rankings (NFL) for the 2017 season

Rankings determined from average of model fit over entire season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  2   2 13.9  6.4 New England               17  9   0 11.8  4.9 Green Bay               
  2  4   1 13.0  5.9 Philadelphia              18  3   0 10.9  5.0 Buffalo                 
  3  6   1 12.2  5.8 Los Angeles Chargers      19  4   0 10.9  5.0 Arizona                 
  4  2   1 13.3  5.6 New Orleans               20  8   0 11.3  4.9 Denver                  
  5  6   1 11.9  5.8 Minnesota                 21  4   0 11.0  4.9 Tennessee               
  6  3   1 12.5  5.7 Pittsburgh                22  5   0 11.2  4.9 Tampa Bay               
  7  3   1 12.1  5.7 Baltimore                 23  4   0 10.8  4.8 Miami                   
  8  3   1 11.9  5.6 Atlanta                   24  8   0 10.6  4.8 Cincinnati              
  9  4   1 12.2  5.5 Seattle                   25  5   0 10.4  4.8 New York Giants         
 10  3   1 12.2  5.5 Carolina                  26  7   0 11.5  4.7 Detroit                 
 11  3   0 11.8  5.5 Kansas City               27  4   0 10.5  4.7 New York Jets           
 12 12   0 12.1  5.4 Los Angeles Rams          28  6   0 10.7  4.7 Oakland                 
 13  3   0 11.7  5.3 Dallas                    29  3   0 10.8  4.5 San Francisco           
 14  9   0 11.5  5.2 Jacksonville              30  9   0 10.6  4.4 Indianapolis            
 15  6   0 10.5  5.2 Chicago                   31  2   0 10.7  4.1 Houston                 
 16  5   0 11.5  4.9 Washington                32  2  -1  9.3  3.8 Cleveland               

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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