prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
70% 5 Dallas 19 25.1, 13 New York Giants 3 18.0
66% 16 Buffalo 21 24.9, 25 New York Jets 12 17.7
65% 4 Pittsburgh 21 26.9, 32 Cleveland 18 19.0
65% 3 Denver 24 26.2, 21 Los Angeles Chargers 21 19.0
62% 15 Carolina 23 24.8, 31 San Francisco 3 22.4
62% 12 Minnesota 29 26.5, 19 New Orleans 19 22.4
62% 9 Green Bay 17 23.9, 2 Seattle 9 22.1
62% 7 Atlanta 23 26.2, 29 Chicago 17 22.1
56% 22 Detroit 35 22.7, 10 Arizona 23 22.1
43% 28 Los Angeles Rams 46 22.3, 17 Indianapolis 9 23.0
38% 27 Oakland 26 22.0, 23 Tennessee 16 25.6
38% 14 Philadelphia 30 22.1, 20 Washington 17 24.4
37% 11 Baltimore 20 18.7, 8 Cincinnati 0 22.5
36% 30 Jacksonville 29 18.5, 26 Houston 7 23.9
19% 6 Kansas City 42 16.5, 1 New England 27 26.0
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
2 0.88 12 1.05 0 0.00 1 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 15 9 9.6 0.94
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net