2017 Week 9 (2-6 Nov) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 82%   7 New Orleans             30 30.7,    27 Tampa Bay               10 20.1
 63%   2 Philadelphia            51 25.6,     9 Denver                  23 19.4
 61%  28 Arizona                 20 25.5,    31 San Francisco           10 23.2
 61%  17 Jacksonville            23 22.4,    15 Cincinnati               7 16.8
 61%  11 Carolina                20 22.7,    14 Atlanta                 17 19.6
 60%   8 Los Angeles Rams        51 21.8,    19 New York Giants         17 20.3
 57%  13 Dallas                  28 25.5,     5 Kansas City             17 24.2
 56%  21 Tennessee               23 22.1,    18 Baltimore               20 21.2

 39%  29 Oakland                 27 20.8,    26 Miami                   24 24.3
 39%  23 New York Jets           34 17.2,     6 Buffalo                 21 21.0
 34%  30 Indianapolis            20 24.1,    25 Houston                 14 35.7
 32%  20 Detroit                 30 22.7,    12 Green Bay               17 30.4
 23%  22 Washington              17 19.2,     4 Seattle                 14 29.6

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                3 1.74   8 0.80   1 0.00   1 1.22   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):  13   8   8.3 0.96

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: exact predicted scores are not released until after game time.

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