2017 Week 13 (30 Nov - 4 Dec) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 84%   5 Los Angeles Chargers    19 33.5,    32 Cleveland               10 13.0
 76%   1 New England             23 29.2,    17 Buffalo                  3 19.6
 74%   8 Baltimore               44 26.4,    19 Detroit                 20 18.7
 71%   3 New Orleans             31 27.8,    10 Carolina                21 20.2
 66%  13 Jacksonville            30 29.2,    30 Indianapolis            10 17.6
 62%  23 Tennessee               24 28.9,    29 Houston                 13 24.1
 62%  16 Green Bay               26 27.3,    20 Tampa Bay               20 22.7
 61%  27 Oakland                 24 23.7,    24 New York Giants         17 20.7
 61%  15 Dallas                  38 27.8,    18 Washington              14 23.9
 61%   7 Los Angeles Rams        32 24.0,    25 Arizona                 16 21.0
 61%   4 Pittsburgh              23 20.2,    14 Cincinnati              20 18.6
 54%  28 Miami                   35 24.1,    22 Denver                   9 23.5

 46%   9 Seattle                 24 23.9,     2 Philadelphia            10 24.6
 39%  26 New York Jets           38 19.3,    11 Kansas City             31 22.3
 39%   6 Minnesota               14 20.6,    12 Atlanta                  9 22.3
 32%  31 San Francisco           15 17.5,    21 Chicago                 14 26.3

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                2 0.93  10 1.13   3 1.36   1 1.18   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):  16  12  10.3 1.16

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: exact predicted scores are not released until after game time.

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