prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
77% 16 Green Bay 27 29.6, 32 Cleveland 21 21.4
77% 8 Los Angeles Chargers 30 28.0, 17 Washington 13 19.3
74% 12 Kansas City 26 27.8, 27 Oakland 15 17.8
68% 19 Buffalo 13 28.8, 30 Indianapolis 7 20.5
62% 4 Pittsburgh 39 22.0, 6 Baltimore 38 17.8
60% 26 Arizona 12 24.2, 20 Tennessee 7 21.6
60% 25 Denver 23 24.8, 21 New York Jets 0 22.0
60% 10 Carolina 31 21.3, 5 Minnesota 24 19.6
58% 13 Jacksonville 30 21.7, 9 Seattle 24 20.6
54% 15 Dallas 30 22.5, 23 New York Giants 10 22.0
40% 28 Detroit 24 22.9, 18 Tampa Bay 21 27.9
40% 11 Atlanta 20 24.5, 3 New Orleans 17 26.6
40% 2 Philadelphia 43 22.3, 7 Los Angeles Rams 35 24.1
34% 31 San Francisco 26 22.1, 29 Houston 16 29.7
34% 22 Chicago 33 15.8, 14 Cincinnati 7 22.4
21% 24 Miami 27 17.2, 1 New England 20 29.0
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
2 1.79 10 0.80 4 0.98 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 16 10 10.4 0.96
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net