6 Nov 2018: Average model rankings (NFL) for the 2018 season

Rankings determined from average of model fit over entire season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  3   1 13.4  5.8 New England               17  3   0 11.5  5.0 Denver                  
  2  2   1 13.7  5.7 Kansas City               18  6   0 11.7  4.9 Green Bay               
  3  3   1 11.9  5.8 Baltimore                 19  7   0 11.3  4.8 Houston                 
  4  4   1 12.8  5.6 Pittsburgh                20  4   0 10.7  4.9 Washington              
  5  3   1 11.8  5.6 Seattle                   21  3   0 10.8  4.8 New York Giants         
  6  2   1 13.5  5.5 New Orleans               22  4   0 10.6  4.8 Jacksonville            
  7  5   1 12.1  5.6 Chicago                   23  6   0 11.6  4.7 Cincinnati              
  8  2   1 11.8  5.5 Philadelphia              24  3   0 10.8  4.6 New York Jets           
  9  3   1 12.4  5.5 Carolina                  25  3   0 11.1  4.6 Detroit                 
 10  3   1 12.5  5.4 Los Angeles Chargers      26  3   0 11.1  4.5 San Francisco           
 11  6   1 11.3  5.5 Dallas                    27  4   0 10.7  4.5 Miami                   
 12 10   1 12.4  5.3 Los Angeles Rams          28  3   0 11.4  4.2 Tampa Bay               
 13  2   0 11.6  5.1 Minnesota                 29  3   0  9.3  4.4 Buffalo                 
 14  6   0 10.7  5.1 Tennessee                 30  4   0  9.4  4.1 Arizona                 
 15  3   0 11.9  5.0 Indianapolis              31  3  -1  9.8  4.0 Cleveland               
 16  7   0 12.0  4.9 Atlanta                   32  1  -1  9.3  3.5 Oakland                 

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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