19 Sep 2018: Current model rankings (NFL) for the 2018 season

Rankings determined from model fit at the current week in the season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1 10   2 10.7  6.2 Los Angeles Rams          17  6   0 11.7  4.9 Seattle                 
  2  2   1 12.3  5.8 Baltimore                 18  7   0 11.0  4.9 Miami                   
  3  2   1 13.3  5.4 Kansas City               19  5   0 11.0  4.9 Indianapolis            
  4  6   1 12.6  5.4 New England               20  3   0 10.0  4.9 Washington              
  5  7   1 11.4  5.5 Jacksonville              21  3   0 12.3  4.6 New Orleans             
  6  4   1 11.5  5.4 Minnesota                 22  6   0 11.8  4.6 Green Bay               
  7  4   1 11.2  5.4 New York Jets             23  3   0 10.2  4.7 New York Giants         
  8  6   1 12.2  5.3 Los Angeles Chargers      24 10   0 12.0  4.5 Pittsburgh              
  9  4   1 10.9  5.4 Atlanta                   25  4   0 10.6  4.5 Houston                 
 10  4   1 11.0  5.3 Carolina                  26  3   0 10.7  4.5 San Francisco           
 11  4   1 11.8  5.3 Philadelphia              27  6   0 10.5  4.3 Tennessee               
 12  6   1 11.7  5.3 Tampa Bay                 28  2   0  9.3  4.3 Cleveland               
 13  5   0 10.5  5.2 Dallas                    29  2   0  9.4  4.0 Arizona                 
 14  6   0 11.3  5.1 Denver                    30  2  -1 10.5  3.7 Oakland                 
 15  3   0 10.5  5.1 Chicago                   31  1  -1 10.7  3.2 Detroit                 
 16  9   0 11.6  5.0 Cincinnati                32  1  -1  9.8  3.3 Buffalo                 

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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