2018 Week 9 (1-5 Nov) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 79%  29 San Francisco           34 32.7,    32 Oakland                  3 23.7
 79%   1 New England             31 32.3,    17 Green Bay               17 22.0
 74%   4 Kansas City             37 33.4,    30 Cleveland               21 20.7
 71%   8 Carolina                42 32.7,    27 Tampa Bay               28 21.1
 66%  13 Minnesota               24 29.0,    25 Detroit                  9 20.4
 62%   5 New Orleans             45 30.2,    10 Los Angeles Rams        35 23.7
 61%  11 Chicago                 41 21.9,    26 Buffalo                  9 16.9
 60%  28 Miami                   13 25.8,    24 New York Jets            6 24.3

 38%  22 Atlanta                 38 22.2,    16 Washington              14 26.6
 38%   7 Pittsburgh              23 20.5,     3 Baltimore               16 24.9
 37%  19 Houston                 19 22.0,    14 Denver                  17 27.4
 34%  12 Los Angeles Chargers    25 19.8,     2 Seattle                 17 25.8
 26%  18 Tennessee               28 13.4,     6 Dallas                  14 23.3

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                0 0.00   8 0.80   5 1.06   0 0.00   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):  13   8   8.8 0.91

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: exact predicted scores are not released until after game time.

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