2018 Week 13 (29 Nov - 3 Dec) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 84%   5 Seattle                 43 29.7,    24 San Francisco           16 17.3
 81%  18 Houston                 29 28.3,    30 Cleveland               13 18.7
 78%   3 New England             24 28.8,    11 Minnesota               10 20.2
 68%   7 Kansas City             40 36.2,    32 Oakland                 33 20.9
 66%  14 Tennessee               26 25.5,    26 New York Jets           22 17.9
 63%  28 Miami                   21 23.2,    25 Buffalo                 17 19.0
 62%  12 Philadelphia            28 24.0,    20 Washington              13 18.3
 60%  13 Denver                  24 26.9,    29 Cincinnati              10 24.0
 60%  10 Los Angeles Rams        30 29.6,    23 Detroit                 16 26.4
 60%   6 Baltimore               26 25.7,    21 Atlanta                 16 22.8

 47%  22 Jacksonville             6 24.5,    15 Indianapolis             0 24.8
 41%  27 Tampa Bay               24 26.6,    17 Carolina                17 28.4
 40%  19 New York Giants         30 21.7,     8 Chicago                 27 23.6
 39%   9 Dallas                  13 22.4,     1 New Orleans             10 28.2
 39%   4 Los Angeles Chargers    33 22.2,     2 Pittsburgh              30 27.0
 16%  31 Arizona                 20 16.2,    16 Green Bay               17 31.5

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                2 0.00  10 1.12   1 1.28   3 0.80   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):  16  10  10.6 0.94

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: exact predicted scores are not released until after game time.

Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page

Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net