20 Jan 2020: Average model rankings (NFL) for the 2019 season

Rankings determined from average of model fit over entire season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  2   2 13.1  6.5 New England               17  3   0 11.3  5.4 Denver                  
  2  1   2 13.8  6.4 Baltimore                 18  6   0 11.5  5.1 Los Angeles Rams        
  3  1   1 13.6  5.9 New Orleans               19  4   0 11.7  4.9 Atlanta                 
  4  4   1 12.7  5.9 Minnesota                 20  6   0 11.7  4.9 Houston                 
  5  8   1 12.7  5.8 San Francisco             21  4   0 12.2  4.8 Tampa Bay               
  6  2   1 13.4  5.7 Kansas City               22  3   0 10.7  4.7 New York Jets           
  7  2   1 12.6  5.6 Seattle                   23  4   0 11.3  4.6 Carolina                
  8  2   1 12.1  5.6 Dallas                    24  4   0 10.1  4.7 Jacksonville            
  9  5   1 12.0  5.6 Tennessee                 25  3   0 11.1  4.5 New York Giants         
 10  6   1 11.5  5.6 Pittsburgh                26  3   0 11.1  4.5 Detroit                 
 11  5   0 11.0  5.6 Buffalo                   27  2   0 10.8  4.5 Arizona                 
 12  3   0 12.4  5.5 Green Bay                 28  2   0 10.0  4.6 Washington              
 13  3   0 11.8  5.5 Los Angeles Chargers      29  4   0 10.4  4.4 Cincinnati              
 14  5   0 12.0  5.5 Philadelphia              30  4   0 10.4  4.3 Cleveland               
 15  3   0 10.9  5.5 Chicago                   31  3   0 10.6  4.2 Miami                   
 16  3   0 11.9  5.4 Indianapolis              32  3   0 10.4  4.2 Oakland                 

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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