21 Nov 2019: Current model rankings (NFL) for the 2019 season

Rankings determined from model fit at the current week in the season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  1   2 13.8  6.8 New England               17  3   0 11.1  5.2 Denver                  
  2  1   2 13.4  6.3 Baltimore                 18  3   0 10.5  5.2 Buffalo                 
  3  9   1 12.4  5.9 San Francisco             19  7   0 11.8  5.0 Houston                 
  4  2   1 12.8  5.9 New Orleans               20  3   0 11.7  4.9 Carolina                
  5  4   1 12.3  5.8 Minnesota                 21  5   0 10.4  4.9 Jacksonville            
  6  4   1 12.1  5.6 Pittsburgh                22  7   0 11.4  4.7 Atlanta                 
  7  4   1 11.6  5.7 Los Angeles Chargers      23  3   0 11.3  4.7 Detroit                 
  8  3   1 12.2  5.6 Philadelphia              24  3   0 12.0  4.4 Tampa Bay               
  9  3   1 11.9  5.6 Dallas                    25  2   0 10.6  4.5 New York Jets           
 10  3   1 12.6  5.5 Green Bay                 26  6   0 10.3  4.5 Cleveland               
 11  8   1 11.8  5.5 Los Angeles Rams          27  4   0 10.8  4.4 Oakland                 
 12  6   0 12.7  5.4 Seattle                   28  2   0  9.5  4.4 Washington              
 13  5   0 12.9  5.3 Kansas City               29  2   0 10.5  4.3 Arizona                 
 14  4   0 11.1  5.4 Tennessee                 30  6   0 10.8  4.1 New York Giants         
 15  3   0 11.0  5.4 Chicago                   31  3   0  9.8  4.2 Miami                   
 16  3   0 11.6  5.3 Indianapolis              32  5  -1 10.0  4.1 Cincinnati              

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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