20 Jan 2020: Current model rankings (NFL) for the 2019 season

Rankings determined from model fit at the current week in the season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  1   2 13.8  6.4 Baltimore                 17  4   0 11.9  5.4 Indianapolis            
  2  2   2 13.1  6.4 New England               18  5   0 11.5  5.1 Los Angeles Rams        
  3  2   1 13.6  5.9 New Orleans               19  5   0 11.7  5.0 Atlanta                 
  4  4   1 12.7  5.9 Minnesota                 20  4   0 12.1  4.8 Tampa Bay               
  5  2   1 13.5  5.8 Kansas City               21  6   0 11.7  4.9 Houston                 
  6  8   1 12.8  5.8 San Francisco             22  3   0 10.7  4.7 New York Jets           
  7  6   1 12.0  5.7 Tennessee                 23  4   0 11.2  4.5 New York Giants         
  8  2   1 12.1  5.6 Dallas                    24  4   0 10.1  4.6 Jacksonville            
  9  3   1 12.5  5.6 Seattle                   25  6   0 11.2  4.5 Carolina                
 10  6   0 11.5  5.6 Pittsburgh                26  2   0 10.8  4.5 Arizona                 
 11  3   0 12.4  5.5 Green Bay                 27  3   0 11.0  4.5 Detroit                 
 12  4   0 11.0  5.6 Buffalo                   28  2   0 10.0  4.6 Washington              
 13  4   0 12.0  5.5 Philadelphia              29  5   0 10.5  4.4 Cincinnati              
 14  4   0 11.8  5.5 Los Angeles Chargers      30  3   0 10.7  4.3 Miami                   
 15  3   0 10.9  5.5 Chicago                   31  4   0 10.4  4.3 Cleveland               
 16  3   0 11.3  5.4 Denver                    32  3   0 10.4  4.2 Oakland                 

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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