17 Sep 2019: Current model rankings (NFL) for the 2019 season

Rankings determined from model fit at the current week in the season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  1   4 13.0  7.7 New England               17  5   0 11.1  5.1 Houston                 
  2  1   2 12.4  6.0 Baltimore                 18  8   0 11.9  4.9 Pittsburgh              
  3  8   1 12.0  5.9 Tennessee                 19  4   0 10.4  4.9 Detroit                 
  4  7   1 12.0  5.9 Los Angeles Rams          20  3   0 10.3  4.8 Denver                  
  5  5   1 10.2  6.0 Buffalo                   21  4   0 11.0  4.7 Atlanta                 
  6  5   1 11.6  5.8 San Francisco             22  3   0 11.1  4.6 Carolina                
  7  3   1 12.0  5.7 Dallas                    23  3   0 11.0  4.6 Washington              
  8  3   1 13.1  5.5 Kansas City               24  2   0 10.4  4.4 Jacksonville            
  9  3   1 11.0  5.6 Minnesota                 25  5   0 10.4  4.2 Arizona                 
 10  5   1 11.8  5.5 Seattle                   26  3   0  9.8  4.3 Cleveland               
 11  3   1 11.2  5.4 Green Bay                 27  4   0 10.7  4.0 Tampa Bay               
 12  3   1 10.4  5.4 Chicago                   28  2   0  9.7  4.1 Oakland                 
 13  3   0 11.2  5.3 Los Angeles Chargers      29  3   0 10.9  3.9 Cincinnati              
 14  5   0 12.6  5.1 New Orleans               30  3   0 11.0  3.8 New York Giants         
 15  3   0 11.9  5.1 Indianapolis              31  2  -1  9.2  3.8 New York Jets           
 16  5   0 11.5  5.1 Philadelphia              32  1  -2  9.3  2.5 Miami                   

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page

Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net