2019 Week 14 (5-9 Dec) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 84%  12 Philadelphia            23 31.1,    30 New York Giants         17 19.2
 82%  14 Green Bay               20 28.8,    26 Washington              15 15.6
 74%   5 Minnesota               20 30.8,    22 Detroit                  7 18.6
 66%   1 Baltimore               24 24.3,    15 Buffalo                 17 15.0
 64%  25 New York Jets           22 26.7,    31 Miami                   21 19.7
 64%  10 Tennessee               42 25.3,    32 Oakland                 21 19.3
 64%   6 Pittsburgh              23 25.6,    29 Arizona                 17 20.2
 60%  27 Cleveland               27 24.6,    28 Cincinnati              19 19.5
 60%  21 Tampa Bay               38 27.9,    17 Indianapolis            35 24.9
 60%  13 Chicago                 31 20.1,     9 Dallas                  24 18.1
 60%   7 Los Angeles Chargers    45 22.1,    23 Jacksonville            10 18.4
 54%  24 Atlanta                 40 27.2,    20 Carolina                20 26.6
 51%  16 Los Angeles Rams        28 23.8,     8 Seattle                 12 23.6

 40%   3 San Francisco           48 21.4,     4 New Orleans             46 24.7
 37%  18 Denver                  38 19.5,    19 Houston                 24 25.3
 18%  11 Kansas City             23 19.1,     2 New England             16 30.3

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                2 1.90  10 1.29   1 1.36   3 0.81   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):  16  13  10.5 1.24

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: exact predicted scores are not released until after game time.

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