26 Oct 2020: Average model rankings (NFL) for the 2020 season

Rankings determined from average of model fit over entire season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  1   2 13.1  6.1 Baltimore                 17  5   0 11.4  4.8 Los Angeles Chargers    
  2  1   2 13.4  6.1 Kansas City               18  6   0 11.9  4.8 Philadelphia            
  3  2   1 12.7  5.8 Pittsburgh                19  3   0 11.1  4.9 Buffalo                 
  4  7   1 13.0  5.6 Tampa Bay                 20  7   0 11.6  4.8 Minnesota               
  5  3   1 12.6  5.6 Green Bay                 21  4   0 11.4  4.7 Detroit                 
  6  3   1 13.4  5.4 Seattle                   22  5   0 11.6  4.6 Atlanta                 
  7  3   1 12.8  5.4 Tennessee                 23  4   0 10.9  4.6 Carolina                
  8  3   1 11.7  5.4 Indianapolis              24  3   0 10.7  4.4 Cincinnati              
  9  4   1 11.8  5.4 San Francisco             25  4   0  9.9  4.4 Washington              
 10  7   1 11.7  5.4 Los Angeles Rams          26  6   0 11.4  4.2 Cleveland               
 11  6   1 12.0  5.3 Miami                     27  2   0 10.4  4.3 New York Giants         
 12  3   1 10.6  5.4 Chicago                   28  3   0 11.0  4.1 Houston                 
 13  6   0 11.3  5.1 Arizona                   29  6   0 11.3  4.0 Dallas                  
 14 10   0 11.3  5.1 New England               30  2  -1  9.9  3.8 Jacksonville            
 15  7   0 12.6  4.9 New Orleans               31  6  -1 11.8  3.4 Las Vegas               
 16  4   0 10.8  4.9 Denver                    32  1  -1  9.3  3.6 New York Jets           

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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