18 Jan 2021: Current model rankings (NFL) for the 2020 season

Rankings determined from model fit at the current week in the season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  1   1 12.8  6.1 Baltimore                 17  3   0 11.6  5.0 San Francisco           
  2  2   1 13.2  5.8 Green Bay                 18  5   0 12.0  4.9 Minnesota               
  3  2   1 13.1  5.7 Kansas City               19  4   0 10.5  5.0 Washington              
  4  2   1 13.1  5.7 New Orleans               20  7   0 11.5  4.8 Philadelphia            
  5  9   1 13.0  5.7 Tampa Bay                 21  6   0 11.9  4.8 Dallas                  
  6  5   1 12.7  5.6 Buffalo                   22  7   0 11.2  4.8 Cleveland               
  7  2   1 12.9  5.5 Seattle                   23  3   0 11.1  4.7 Carolina                
  8  3   1 12.2  5.6 Pittsburgh                24  3   0 10.3  4.8 New York Giants         
  9  3   1 12.6  5.5 Indianapolis              25  5   0 10.9  4.7 Denver                  
 10  8   1 11.6  5.5 New England               26 10   0 11.3  4.6 Los Angeles Chargers    
 11  4   1 11.3  5.5 Chicago                   27  2   0 10.3  4.5 Cincinnati              
 12  7   0 11.5  5.4 Los Angeles Rams          28  3   0 11.1  4.3 Houston                 
 13  3   0 12.4  5.2 Tennessee                 29  2   0 11.0  4.2 Detroit                 
 14  6   0 11.9  5.2 Miami                     30  2   0  9.6  4.3 New York Jets           
 15  3   0 11.8  5.1 Atlanta                   31  2  -1  9.9  3.9 Jacksonville            
 16  5   0 11.7  5.0 Arizona                   32  4  -1 12.1  3.3 Las Vegas               

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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