2020 Week 2 (17-21 Sep) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 67%  10 Chicago                 17 29.3,    28 New York Giants         13 16.9
 64%   6 Green Bay               42 39.1,    29 Detroit                 21 22.2
 64%   5 Pittsburgh              26 25.3,    20 Denver                  21 14.5
 63%   1 Baltimore               33 26.5,    23 Houston                 16 15.0
 62%  18 Tampa Bay               31 42.1,    32 Carolina                17 26.0
 62%   4 Tennessee               33 20.2,    15 Jacksonville            30 11.4
 61%  16 Dallas                  40 34.9,    27 Atlanta                 39 26.4
 61%  11 Arizona                 30 19.4,    14 Washington              15 12.0
 61%   3 Seattle                 35 22.7,     2 New England             30 16.5
 58%  13 Los Angeles Rams        37 24.7,    21 Philadelphia            19 22.8
 55%  22 Indianapolis            28 35.8,    17 Minnesota               11 33.8
 53%  12 Buffalo                 31 18.1,    19 Miami                   28 17.4

 48%   8 Kansas City             23 18.8,     9 Los Angeles Chargers    20 19.2
 47%  31 Cleveland               35 26.5,    26 Cincinnati              30 27.4
 39%  30 Las Vegas               34 24.6,     7 New Orleans             24 37.8
 39%  24 San Francisco           31 27.0,    25 New York Jets           13 30.8

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                5 1.11  11 1.31   0 0.00   0 0.00   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):  16  12   9.6 1.25

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: exact predicted scores are not released until after game time.

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