2020 Week 5 (8-12 Oct) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred
 84%   2 Baltimore               27 31.5,    21 Cincinnati               3 14.7
 80%   5 Pittsburgh              38 26.9,    15 Philadelphia            29 17.5
 66%  23 Dallas                  37 35.5,    29 New York Giants         34 27.3
 64%  11 Los Angeles Rams        30 26.5,    28 Washington              10 20.0
 63%   9 Tennessee               42 26.8,    14 Buffalo                 16 18.3
 62%  27 Houston                 30 32.2,    30 Jacksonville            14 25.1
 62%  16 New Orleans             30 31.2,    17 Los Angeles Chargers    27 25.8
 62%   7 Seattle                 27 32.5,    13 Minnesota               26 24.2
 59%  20 Arizona                 30 26.5,    31 New York Jets           10 25.1
 41%  12 Chicago                 20 20.1,    10 Tampa Bay               19 21.9
 39%  24 Carolina                23 28.1,    26 Atlanta                 16 31.2
 39%  22 Cleveland               32 19.9,     4 Indianapolis            23 25.4
 33%  19 Miami                   43 15.6,     6 San Francisco           17 27.5
 22%  32 Las Vegas               40 19.2,     1 Kansas City             32 46.8

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                2 0.84   9 1.06   1 0.00   2 1.22   0 0.00   0 0.00
  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):  14   9   9.3 0.97
  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: exact predicted scores are not released until after game time.

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