2020 Week 10 (12-16 Nov) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 84%   4 Green Bay               24 36.7,    32 Jacksonville            20 16.7
 84%   3 Pittsburgh              36 30.6,    23 Cincinnati              10 17.0
 76%  24 Detroit                 30 27.7,    27 Washington              27 20.1
 66%   7 Miami                   29 30.4,    21 Los Angeles Chargers    21 20.4
 60%  28 Cleveland               10 29.7,    26 Houston                  7 27.7
 60%  17 Arizona                 32 25.1,    15 Buffalo                 30 21.7
 60%   9 New Orleans             27 29.1,    12 San Francisco           13 24.2
 60%   6 Tampa Bay               46 28.3,    22 Carolina                23 23.1

 53%  11 Los Angeles Rams        23 28.2,     8 Seattle                 16 27.5
 41%  30 Las Vegas               37 32.4,    19 Denver                  12 36.3
 40%  25 New York Giants         27 23.7,    18 Philadelphia            17 26.5
 40%  14 Minnesota               19 20.1,    13 Chicago                 13 22.2
 40%   5 Indianapolis            34 22.8,    10 Tennessee               17 25.9
 39%  16 New England             23 20.4,     1 Baltimore               17 27.4

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                2 0.89   9 0.91   1 1.32   2 1.18   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):  14   9   9.1 0.99

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: exact predicted scores are not released until after game time.

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