2020 Week 13 (3-7 Dec) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 85%  17 Minnesota               27 31.2,    30 Jacksonville            24 17.6
 84%   2 Kansas City             22 33.0,    23 Denver                  16 16.6
 83%   3 Baltimore               34 35.2,    29 Dallas                  17 18.6
 81%  10 Miami                   19 29.5,    26 Cincinnati               7 18.3
 79%   5 Green Bay               30 31.7,    19 Philadelphia            16 21.9
 60%   6 Indianapolis            26 26.8,    24 Houston                 20 23.8
 60%   4 New Orleans             21 27.5,    16 Atlanta                 16 24.4

 49%  12 New England             45 24.9,    21 Los Angeles Chargers     0 25.0
 41%  32 Las Vegas               31 32.1,    31 New York Jets           28 35.9
 40%  11 Los Angeles Rams        38 22.2,    18 Arizona                 28 23.9
 39%  15 Buffalo                 34 21.1,    13 San Francisco           24 25.8
 27%  28 Detroit                 34 18.5,    14 Chicago                 30 26.3
 22%  27 Cleveland               41 19.1,     8 Tennessee               35 31.5
 20%  22 New York Giants         17 19.9,     7 Seattle                 12 33.1
 15%  25 Washington              23 12.4,     1 Pittsburgh              17 28.8

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                2 0.00   4 0.83   4 0.32   5 0.96   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):  15   7  10.8 0.65

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: exact predicted scores are not released until after game time.

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