11 Oct 2021: Average model rankings (NFL) for the 2021 season

Rankings determined from average of model fit over entire season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  2   2 12.9  6.1 Buffalo                   17  6   0 10.2  5.1 Chicago                 
  2  2   1 12.5  5.8 New Orleans               18  8   0 11.5  4.9 Los Angeles Chargers    
  3  8   1 12.8  5.7 Arizona                   19  4   0 11.4  4.9 San Francisco           
  4  3   1 12.6  5.6 Baltimore                 20  4   0 11.5  4.9 Minnesota               
  5  4   1 13.0  5.5 Tampa Bay                 21  6   0 11.3  4.9 Philadelphia            
  6  8   1 12.1  5.5 Los Angeles Rams          22  6   0 11.7  4.8 Tennessee               
  7  8   1 11.1  5.3 New England               23  3   0 10.5  4.8 Cincinnati              
  8  4   1 12.1  5.2 Seattle                   24  3   0 10.7  4.4 Washington              
  9  4   0 12.3  5.2 Dallas                    25  3   0 10.2  4.4 New York Giants         
 10  5   0 13.1  5.0 Kansas City               26  3   0 10.6  4.3 Miami                   
 11  4   0 12.1  5.1 Green Bay                 27  4   0 10.8  4.2 Atlanta                 
 12  4   0 11.2  5.2 Pittsburgh                28  2   0 10.6  4.1 Detroit                 
 13 10   0 11.4  5.1 Cleveland                 29  4   0 11.6  3.9 Las Vegas               
 14  3   0 10.6  5.2 Denver                    30  1   0  9.3  4.2 New York Jets           
 15  4   0 10.9  5.1 Carolina                  31  1  -1 10.0  3.8 Houston                 
 16  6   0 11.6  5.0 Indianapolis              32  1  -1  9.6  3.5 Jacksonville            

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page

Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net