2021 Week 4 (30 Sep - 4 Oct) Forecast for the National Football League

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

80-90% chance of victory:

  20 Cincinnati                over   32 Jacksonville               31.5 to 17.5
   1 New Orleans               over   28 New York Giants            31.5 to 10.5

70-80% chance of victory:

   4 Buffalo                   over   30 Houston                    35.0 to 17.5

60-70% chance of victory:

  12 Dallas                    over    5 Carolina                   21.0 to 17.5
  24 Chicago                   over   29 Detroit                    28.0 to 24.5
  27 Atlanta                   over   25 Washington                 28.0 to 24.5
   2 Los Angeles Rams          over    3 Arizona                    24.5 to 21.0
  15 San Francisco             over    8 Seattle                    24.5 to 24.5
  17 Minnesota                 over   13 Cleveland                  24.5 to 24.5
  21 Tennessee                 over   31 New York Jets              28.0 to 21.0
  19 Green Bay                 over   14 Pittsburgh                 28.0 to 24.5
   6 Denver                    over    7 Baltimore                  21.0 to 17.5
  18 Los Angeles Chargers      over   23 Las Vegas                  31.5 to 24.5

50-60% chance of victory:

  10 Philadelphia              over    9 Kansas City                24.5 to 24.5
  26 Miami                     over   22 Indianapolis               28.0 to 28.0
  11 Tampa Bay                 over   16 New England                28.0 to 24.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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