prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
84% 19 Miami 31 28.7, 29 New York Jets 24 17.3
84% 5 Buffalo 31 29.1, 24 Carolina 14 15.7
78% 16 Philadelphia 27 25.8, 23 Washington 17 18.3
74% 14 San Francisco 31 29.7, 27 Atlanta 13 18.8
61% 13 Dallas 21 24.9, 26 New York Giants 6 20.6
61% 11 Los Angeles Rams 20 23.9, 8 Seattle 10 19.5
57% 2 Kansas City 34 26.3, 20 Los Angeles Chargers 28 23.3
56% 7 Indianapolis 27 24.1, 1 New England 17 21.6
51% 17 Minnesota 17 23.0, 22 Chicago 9 22.7
50% 18 Pittsburgh 19 24.7, 12 Tennessee 13 24.7
42% 32 Houston 30 19.4, 30 Jacksonville 16 24.3
42% 31 Las Vegas 16 27.4, 25 Cleveland 14 36.1
40% 4 Green Bay 31 20.8, 6 Baltimore 30 24.7
38% 10 New Orleans 9 22.8, 3 Tampa Bay 0 30.1
37% 21 Cincinnati 15 19.0, 15 Denver 10 23.9
35% 28 Detroit 30 20.6, 9 Arizona 12 30.6
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
7 0.77 5 0.64 2 1.31 2 1.20 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 16 9 10.2 0.88
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net