2022 Week 10 (11-15 Nov) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 81%   2 Kansas City             27 35.4,    26 Jacksonville            17 17.5
 73%  20 New York Giants         24 27.4,    32 Houston                 16 17.1
 70%  11 San Francisco           22 28.4,    21 Los Angeles Chargers    16 20.4
 69%  15 Tennessee               17 20.7,    31 Denver                  10 13.8
 66%  13 Miami                   39 28.7,    25 Cleveland               17 21.5
 60%  10 Tampa Bay               21 25.7,     5 Seattle                 16 23.8
 59%  29 Pittsburgh              20 22.6,    14 New Orleans             10 21.3

 47%  22 Green Bay               31 21.6,     8 Dallas                  28 22.0
 43%  24 Indianapolis            25 32.0,    16 Las Vegas               20 37.2
 40%  30 Carolina                25 22.8,    18 Atlanta                 15 25.0
 35%  12 Arizona                 27 20.3,    23 Los Angeles Rams        17 24.6
 33%  27 Detroit                 31 21.3,    19 Chicago                 30 31.0
 22%   9 Minnesota               33 17.8,     1 Buffalo                 30 31.1
 15%  28 Washington              32 16.5,     3 Philadelphia            21 28.8

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                4 0.87   6 0.76   2 0.66   2 0.60   0 0.00   0 0.00
                
  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):  14   7   9.4 0.74

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: exact predicted scores are not released until after game time.

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