prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
86% 5 Baltimore 10 24.9, 31 Denver 9 12.0
73% 4 Dallas 54 26.4, 26 Indianapolis 19 15.7
70% 3 Philadelphia 35 27.9, 14 Tennessee 10 20.4
64% 12 San Francisco 33 24.4, 10 Miami 17 20.2
64% 8 Minnesota 27 26.4, 15 New York Jets 22 20.8
63% 13 Tampa Bay 17 23.8, 18 New Orleans 16 18.7
62% 22 Detroit 40 27.3, 28 Jacksonville 14 23.6
61% 21 Cleveland 27 26.5, 32 Houston 14 23.7
60% 24 New York Giants 20 20.1, 27 Washington 20 18.7
60% 11 Las Vegas 27 43.7, 17 Los Angeles Chargers 20 35.1
55% 7 Seattle 27 23.6, 25 Los Angeles Rams 23 23.0
55% 2 Buffalo 24 23.3, 9 New England 10 22.5
40% 29 Pittsburgh 19 21.1, 19 Atlanta 16 22.6
40% 20 Green Bay 28 22.7, 23 Chicago 19 25.3
40% 6 Cincinnati 27 25.7, 1 Kansas City 24 28.0
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
5 1.04 7 1.15 2 1.40 1 1.16 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 15 11 9.5 1.15
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net