2022 Postseason: Wild Card (14-15 Jan) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 79%   2 Buffalo                 34 31.9,    13 Miami                   31 18.2
 63%   6 San Francisco           41 27.0,     7 Seattle                 23 21.3
 63%   5 Cincinnati              24 24.0,    11 Baltimore               17 19.7
 61%   3 Dallas                  31 26.3,    17 Tampa Bay               14 23.3
 56%  22 Jacksonville            31 24.4,    12 Los Angeles Chargers    30 23.6

 34%  21 New York Giants         31 22.0,     8 Minnesota               24 28.8

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                1 1.79   4 1.18   1 1.27   0 0.00   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):   6   5   3.9 1.29

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: exact predicted scores are not released until after game time.

Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page

Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net