2022 Postseason: Divisional (21-22 Jan) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 78%   4 Philadelphia            38 29.2,    18 New York Giants          7 19.8
 77%   1 Kansas City             27 34.0,    22 Jacksonville            20 18.5
 56%   6 San Francisco           19 25.4,     3 Dallas                  12 24.5

 29%   5 Cincinnati              27 20.5,     2 Buffalo                 10 28.4

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                1 1.78   0 0.00   3 0.88   0 0.00   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):   4   3   2.8 1.06

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: exact predicted scores are not released until after game time.

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