6 Jan 2001: Season end model rankings (NCAA Div IA & IAA)

Rankings determined from model fit for the final week in the season.

rnk u spd  off  def                          rnk u spd  off  def
  1 0   9 13.0  4.6 Miami - Florida          120 *   0  7.1  1.9 Temple                  
  2 0   9 11.7  5.5 Florida State            121 *   0  9.4  0.2 Drake                   
  3 1   8 11.9  4.9 Oklahoma                 122 *   0  9.7 -0.1 Southern                
  4 1   8 13.5  3.4 Nebraska                 123 *   0  7.0  1.9 Elon                    
  5 1   7 12.9  2.9 Florida                  124 *   0  8.6  0.6 Southern Utah           
  6 2   7 13.1  2.7 Virginia Tech            125 *   0  7.1  1.7 Holy Cross              
  7 2   7 12.4  3.3 Kansas State             126 *   0  7.3  1.5 Davidson                
  8 5   6 12.0  2.8 Texas                    127 *   0 10.0 -0.5 Brown                   
  9 3   6 11.3  3.3 Oregon State             128 *   0  8.7  0.4 Tennessee - Chattanooga 
 10 5   6 11.5  3.1 Michigan                 129 *   0  7.9  1.0 East Tennessee State    
 11 4   6 11.2  3.2 Washington               130 *   0  9.9 -0.5 Northern Iowa           
 12 4   5 10.4  3.6 Texas Christian          131 *   0  6.7  1.9 Sacred Heart            
 13 5   5 11.6  2.6 Tennessee                132 *   0  9.2 -0.1 Idaho                   
 14 7   5 11.1  2.9 Georgia Tech             133 *   0  8.1  0.8 Rice                    
 15 6   5 10.6  3.3 Toledo                   134 *   0  6.7  1.7 Tulsa                   
 16 5   5 12.5  1.7 Boise State              135 *   0  8.2  0.6 William & Mary          
 17 *   5 10.7  2.9 Oregon                   136 *   0 10.3 -1.0 Villanova               
 18 6   4  8.7  4.3 South Carolina           137 *   0  8.9  0.1 Portland State          
 19 5   5 10.1  3.3 Georgia                  138 *   0  7.2  1.2 Eastern Washington      
 20 6   5  9.7  3.5 Auburn                   139 *   0  9.2 -0.3 Jackson State           
 21 6   4 10.3  3.0 Texas A&M                140 *   0  8.4  0.2 Louisiana Tech          
 22 *   4 11.0  2.3 Clemson                  141 *   0  8.6  0.1 Hawaii                  
 23 9   4  9.6  3.4 Louisiana State          142 *   0  7.7  0.7 Wagner                  
 24 *   4 10.3  2.8 Ohio State               143 *   0  8.9 -0.3 New Mexico State        
 25 7   4  9.6  3.4 Southern Mississippi     144 *   0  9.5 -0.7 Albany                  
 26 *   4 11.0  2.3 Purdue                   145 *   0  6.0  1.8 Southwest Texas State   
 27 8   4 10.5  2.6 East Carolina            146 *   0  7.7  0.4 Miami - Ohio            
 28 7   4 11.6  1.7 Mississippi State        147 *   0  9.2 -0.7 Morehead State          
 29 *   4  9.2  3.3 Wisconsin                148 *   0  6.2  1.5 Alabama A&M             
 30 *   4 10.2  2.6 Georgia Southern         149 *   0  8.8 -0.4 Hampton                 
 31 *   4 12.7  0.7 Northwestern             150 *   0  7.2  0.7 Wake Forest             
 32 8   4  8.5  3.8 Western Michigan         151 *   0  9.2 -0.8 Murray State            
 33 *   4 10.9  1.9 Delaware                 152 *   0  8.2 -0.1 New Hampshire           
 34 9   4 10.2  2.5 Colorado State           153 *   0  8.0  0.0 Utah State              
 35 9   4 10.7  2.1 Louisville               154 9   0  6.4  1.2 Colgate                 
 36 *   4  9.9  2.6 Colorado                 155 *   0  8.4 -0.3 Sacramento State        
 37 9   4 10.0  2.6 Notre Dame               156 9   0  7.8  0.2 Sam Houston State       
 38 *   3 10.1  2.2 Boston College           157 *   0  6.2  1.3 Weber State             
 39 9   3  9.6  2.5 Texas Tech               158 *   0  7.6  0.2 Houston                 
 40 *   3  9.2  2.6 Pittsburgh               159 *   0  5.4  1.9 Eastern Kentucky        
 41 *   3  9.8  2.2 Stanford                 160 *  -1  7.2  0.3 Princeton               
 42 *   3  9.0  2.7 Arizona                  161 9  -1  8.7 -0.8 Western Carolina        
 43 *   3  9.4  2.5 Lehigh                   162 *  -1  6.6  0.7 Northwestern State      
 44 *   3 10.9  1.3 California - Los Angeles 163 9  -1  7.6  0.0 Northeastern            
 45 *   3 10.5  1.5 Iowa State               164 *  -1  7.7 -0.1 Rutgers                 
 46 *   3  8.7  2.8 Syracuse                 165 *  -1  6.2  1.0 Bowling Green           
 47 *   3 10.5  1.4 Mississippi              166 9  -1  5.8  1.3 Rhode Island            
 48 *   3 10.9  1.1 West Virginia            167 *  -1  8.4 -0.7 Saint Mary's            
 49 *   3  9.7  2.0 Robert Morris            168 *  -1  8.5 -0.8 Arkansas State          
 50 *   3  9.6  2.1 Appalachian State        169 9  -1  6.9  0.4 Stephen F. Austin       
 51 *   3  8.9  2.6 Alabama                  170 *  -1  7.4  0.0 Lafayette               
 52 *   2  7.7  3.3 Western Kentucky         171 9  -1  6.8  0.4 Ball State              
 53 *   3  9.3  2.2 Penn State               172 9  -1  5.5  1.4 Southwest Missouri State
 54 *   3  9.2  2.2 Central Florida          173 *  -1  7.2  0.1 Army                    
 55 *   2  9.3  2.2 Furman                   174 *  -1  5.8  1.1 Southern Methodist      
 56 *   2 11.2  0.7 Air Force                175 *  -1  7.8 -0.4 Cornell                 
 57 *   2  9.6  1.9 Arizona State            176 *  -1  7.2  0.1 Eastern Michigan        
 58 *   2 10.2  1.4 Minnesota                177 9  -1  8.3 -0.9 Alabama State           
 59 *   2 11.1  0.7 Northern Illinois        178 *  -1  7.0  0.1 Fordham                 
 60 *   2  8.5  2.6 Fresno State             179 *  -1  6.0  0.8 Valparaiso              
 61 *   2  8.2  2.8 Michigan State           180 *  -1  6.5  0.4 Arkansas - Pine Bluff   
 62 *   2  8.6  2.5 Troy State               181 *  -1  5.3  1.3 Monmouth                
 63 *   2  9.2  2.1 North Carolina           182 *  -1  6.2  0.6 Texas Southern          
 64 *   2  9.7  1.7 Illinois                 183 *  -1  7.3 -0.2 Duke                    
 65 *   2  9.2  2.1 California               184 *  -1  6.3  0.4 Northern Arizona        
 66 *   2 10.1  1.3 North Carolina State     185 *  -1  7.6 -0.6 Georgetown              
 67 *   2  7.9  2.8 Alabama - Birmingham     186 *  -1  7.1 -0.2 Navy                    
 68 *   2  8.2  2.7 Utah                     187 *  -1  6.1  0.6 Marist                  
 69 *   2  8.6  2.3 Arkansas                 188 *  -1  7.1 -0.2 Columbia                
 70 *   2  9.1  1.9 Montana                  189 8  -1  9.5 -2.1 Delaware State          
 71 *   2  9.7  1.4 Southern California      190 8  -2  6.1  0.5 Southern Illinois       
 72 *   2 10.0  1.1 Texas - El Paso          191 *  -2  6.7 -0.1 Baylor                  
 73 *   2  9.3  1.6 Nevada - Las Vegas       192 8  -2  4.7  1.3 North Texas             
 74 *   2  9.4  1.5 Marshall                 193 *  -2  7.7 -1.1 Idaho State             
 75 *   2  9.0  1.7 Cincinnati               194 8  -2  7.5 -1.0 Gardner - Webb          
 76 *   2  9.8  1.2 Duquesne                 195 *  -2  8.1 -1.6 California State - North
 77 *   2  9.5  1.4 Brigham Young            196 *  -2  6.2 -0.1 Wyoming                 
 78 *   2  8.5  2.1 Maryland                 197 9  -2  7.8 -1.3 Tennessee State         
 79 *   2 10.7  0.4 Hofstra                  198 8  -2  6.8 -0.7 California Poly         
 80 *   2  8.1  2.3 Virginia                 199 8  -2  6.6 -0.6 Connecticut             
 81 *   2  9.3  1.5 Ohio                     200 7  -2  5.8  0.0 Jacksonville State      
 82 *   2  9.5  1.2 Florida A&M              201 *  -2  8.9 -2.5 Butler                  
 83 *   1  9.0  1.5 Fairfield                202 *  -3  6.9 -1.1 Nevada - Reno           
 84 *   1  7.7  2.3 Iowa                     203 9  -3  5.5  0.0 Central Michigan        
 85 *   1  7.8  2.2 Vanderbilt               204 6  -3  7.0 -1.2 Dartmouth               
 86 *   1  9.2  1.2 Washington State         205 *  -3  4.5  0.6 Saint John's            
 87 *   1  9.2  1.2 Missouri                 206 6  -3  6.7 -1.2 Virginia Military       
 88 *   1  9.7  0.8 Eastern Illinois         207 6  -3  4.6  0.4 The Citadel             
 89 *   1  9.9  0.6 Middle Tennessee State   208 5  -3  4.5  0.4 Nicholls State          
 90 *   1  8.7  1.5 Massachusetts            209 *  -3  5.7 -0.5 San Diego               
 91 *   1  9.5  0.8 Pennsylvania             210 5  -3  4.7  0.2 Liberty                 
 92 *   1  7.8  2.1 Yale                     211 7  -3  5.4 -0.4 Southwestern Louisiana  
 93 *   1  9.3  0.9 Kansas                   212 *  -3  5.9 -0.9 Jacksonville            
 94 *   1  8.4  1.6 Bethune - Cookman        213 5  -4  4.8 -0.2 Charleston Southern     
 95 *   1  7.0  2.6 Richmond                 214 *  -4  6.5 -1.7 Iona                    
 96 *   1  8.1  1.7 Dayton                   215 *  -4  4.1  0.2 La Salle                
 97 *   1  7.6  2.0 North Carolina A&T       216 5  -4  5.2 -0.7 Indiana State           
 98 *   1  7.1  2.3 New Mexico               217 5  -4  6.4 -1.7 Southeast Missouri State
 99 *   1  7.1  2.4 Bucknell                 218 5  -4  3.3  0.6 Norfolk State           
100 *   1  8.7  1.2 Western Illinois         219 6  -4  4.3 -0.2 Kent State              
101 *   1  9.5  0.5 San Jose State           220 4  -4  4.5 -0.4 Samford                 
102 *   1 10.4 -0.1 Indiana                  221 *  -4  3.1  0.6 Saint Peter's           
103 *   1  9.1  0.8 Harvard                  222 4  -4  4.0 -0.1 Alcorn State            
104 *   1  6.4  2.8 Memphis State            223 7  -4  4.8 -0.8 Howard                  
105 *   1  7.5  1.9 James Madison            224 4  -4  7.5 -3.1 South Carolina State    
106 *   1 10.2 -0.1 Tulane                   225 *  -5  4.9 -1.1 Stony Brook             
107 *   1  7.5  1.9 South Florida            226 3  -5  5.3 -1.5 Buffalo                 
108 *   1  7.3  2.1 Youngstown State         227 3  -5  4.2 -0.6 Northeast Louisiana     
109 *   1  8.3  1.3 Illinois State           228 *  -5  5.1 -1.4 Siena                   
110 *   0  7.6  1.7 Tennessee Tech           229 3  -5  5.1 -1.5 Morgan State            
111 *   0  7.8  1.6 McNeese State            230 *  -5  5.4 -1.7 Central Connecticut     
112 *   0  8.4  1.1 Maine                    231 3  -5  3.8 -0.6 Montana State           
113 *   0  7.3  1.9 San Diego State          232 2  -5  5.4 -2.0 Mississippi Valley State
114 *   0  8.2  1.3 Oklahoma State           233 2  -8  4.0 -2.6 Austin Peay             
115 *   0  7.8  1.4 Towson                   234 2  -8  3.3 -2.4 Prairie View            
116 *   0  9.2  0.4 Kentucky                 235 1  -8  2.5 -2.2 Canisius                
117 *   0  8.7  0.7 Akron                    236 1  -9  1.9 -2.4 Saint Francis - Pennsylv
118 *   0  6.8  2.2 Grambling                237 1  -9  2.5 -3.0 Tennessee - Martin      
119 *   0  8.7  0.7 Wofford                 

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=* for uncertainty greater than 9 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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