rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 90 Delaware 216 The Citadel 11 Florida 182 Middle Tennessee State 26 Florida A&M 214 Morgan State 55 Fairfield 220 Fordham 15 Minnesota 131 Ohio 12 Oklahoma 160 Arkansas State 19 Purdue 204 Kent State 125 Saint John's 235 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 9 Texas 208 Southwestern Louisiana 73 Texas Tech 206 North Texas 65 Toledo 222 Weber State 176 Western Kentucky 237 Tennessee - Martin 103 William & Mary 233 Virginia Military 165 McNeese State 236 Prairie View 80-90% chance of victory: 98 Alabama - Birmingham 166 Tennessee - Chattanooga 169 Marist 230 Saint Peter's 20 Alabama 82 Vanderbilt 84 Western Illinois 205 Ball State 40 Colorado State 163 East Tennessee State 67 Elon 195 Delaware State 77 Georgetown 183 Holy Cross 199 Iona 234 Canisius 70 Iowa State 190 Nevada - Las Vegas 49 Jackson State 161 Texas Southern 105 James Madison 196 Liberty 87 Duquesne 217 La Salle 50 Louisville 136 Grambling 75 Maryland 149 Temple 71 Memphis State 185 Northeast Louisiana 8 Michigan 99 Rice 137 Morehead State 229 Butler 47 Texas Christian 170 Nevada - Reno 108 New Hampshire 192 Rhode Island 1 Nebraska 33 Notre Dame 188 Rutgers 226 Buffalo 34 Stanford 179 San Jose State 58 Oklahoma State 175 Tulsa 145 Wagner 210 Monmouth 70-80% chance of victory: 3 Virginia Tech 25 East Carolina 62 Appalachian State 91 Troy State 61 Boise State 85 Northern Iowa 89 Central Florida 150 Northwestern State 28 Clemson 76 Missouri 72 Colgate 178 Connecticut 194 Davidson 212 Jacksonville 86 Miami - Ohio 164 Eastern Michigan 2 Florida State 37 Georgia Tech 116 Hawaii 142 Portland State 60 Kentucky 110 South Florida 45 Louisiana State 83 Houston 53 Hofstra 139 Maine 51 Oregon State 134 New Mexico 107 Albany 180 Northeastern 59 Illinois State 155 Northern Illinois 16 Penn State 46 Louisiana Tech 152 Sacramento State 189 California Poly 31 Georgia 109 South Carolina 151 Southern Illinois 207 Southeast Missouri State 173 Southwest Texas State 213 California State - North 32 Texas A&M 78 Wyoming 69 Virginia 128 Richmond 66 Wake Forest 95 North Carolina 6 Miami - Florida 35 Washington 7 Wisconsin 21 Oregon 38 Lehigh 143 Wofford 181 Bethune - Cookman 223 Norfolk State 138 Hampton 187 Howard 63 Montana 111 Idaho 60-70% chance of victory: 121 Murray State 167 Samford 202 Alcorn State 209 Alabama State 22 Ohio State 42 Arizona 119 Southern 159 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 81 Boston College 126 Army 94 Pittsburgh 147 Bowling Green 44 Utah 79 California 68 California - Los Angeles 64 Fresno State 144 Akron 193 Central Michigan 48 Syracuse 92 Cincinnati 100 Indiana 97 North Carolina State 10 Michigan State 13 Marshall 29 Mississippi 39 Auburn 219 Jacksonville State 228 Nicholls State 115 Northwestern 154 Duke 30 Illinois 57 San Diego State 50-60% chance of victory: 52 Air Force 41 Brigham Young 171 Indiana State 158 Eastern Kentucky 80 Western Michigan 114 Iowa 135 Towson 172 Lafayette 27 Southern California 24 Colorado 113 Southern Methodist 130 Texas - El Paso 140 Utah State 119 Southern 104 Tennessee State 102 North Carolina A&T
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