rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 1 Miami - Florida over 68 Pittsburgh 56 Boston College over 183 Army 12 Washington over 162 California 38 Western Michigan over 219 Eastern Michigan 29 Iowa State over 139 Baylor 41 Lehigh over 230 Central Connecticut 174 Monmouth over 234 Canisius 131 Robert Morris over 236 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 145 Eastern Kentucky over 237 Tennessee - Martin 59 Virginia over 176 Duke 10 Georgia Southern over 233 Virginia Military 2 Virginia Tech over 61 Central Florida 80-90% chance of victory: 112 Albany over 224 Stony Brook 78 Appalachian State over 185 East Tennessee State 70 Pennsylvania over 201 Dartmouth 6 Florida over 35 Mississippi State 14 Florida State over 86 Wake Forest 16 Fresno State over 101 Louisiana Tech 28 Georgia over 90 Arkansas 11 Georgia Tech over 39 Clemson 102 Harvard over 204 Lafayette 50 Texas Christian over 170 Houston 79 Western Kentucky over 177 Illinois State 25 Ohio State over 116 Indiana 40 Mississippi over 124 Kentucky 175 Marist over 216 Saint Peter's 47 Maryland over 92 West Virginia 47 Maryland over 92 West Virginia 168 Sam Houston State over 232 Mississippi Valley State 4 Nebraska over 80 Missouri 178 Morehead State over 227 Valparaiso 144 Towson over 222 Morgan State 7 Brigham Young over 96 Nevada - Las Vegas 87 North Carolina A&T over 225 Norfolk State 64 Delaware over 181 Northeastern 114 Drake over 203 San Diego 81 Sacred Heart over 213 Siena 13 South Carolina over 52 Alabama 84 South Florida over 173 North Texas 57 Middle Tennessee State over 194 Southwestern Louisiana 9 Tennessee over 46 Louisiana State 74 Tennessee State over 160 Southeast Missouri State 8 Texas over 71 Texas Tech 19 Toledo over 63 Northern Illinois 36 Oregon over 141 Utah State 33 Wisconsin over 79 Western Kentucky 33 Wisconsin over 79 Western Kentucky 70-80% chance of victory: 75 Minnesota over 132 Murray State 69 Arizona State over 122 San Jose State 190 Jacksonville over 229 Austin Peay 155 Central Michigan over 214 Buffalo 34 Dayton over 106 Duquesne 163 Elon over 210 Gardner - Webb 135 Fordham over 184 Georgetown 167 Hampton over 206 Delaware State 99 Hofstra over 156 Massachusetts 60 Boise State over 138 Idaho 169 Stephen F. Austin over 223 Indiana State 148 Fairfield over 215 Iona 44 Louisville over 76 Memphis State 55 Marshall over 111 Bowling Green 24 Purdue over 75 Minnesota 158 New Mexico State over 228 Northeast Louisiana 66 Youngstown State over 152 Northern Iowa 23 Northwestern over 54 Michigan State 199 Rutgers over 221 Connecticut 159 Wagner over 207 Saint John's 42 Air Force over 107 San Diego State 120 Wofford over 188 Tennessee - Chattanooga 72 Texas - El Paso over 123 Tulsa 205 The Citadel over 226 South Carolina State 58 Utah over 117 New Mexico 49 Auburn over 108 Vanderbilt 21 Furman over 104 Western Carolina 140 Western Illinois over 196 Southern Illinois 83 William & Mary over 136 New Hampshire 60-70% chance of victory: 119 Jackson State over 154 Alabama A&M 17 Washington State over 37 Arizona 82 Rhode Island over 130 Brown 142 Bucknell over 164 Saint Mary's 103 Eastern Illinois over 128 Tennessee Tech 65 Iowa over 67 Penn State 121 Maine over 129 James Madison 15 Michigan over 20 Illinois 15 Michigan over 20 Illinois 77 Eastern Washington over 110 Montana 197 California State - North over 220 Montana State 26 North Carolina over 62 North Carolina State 3 Oklahoma over 5 Kansas State 88 Oklahoma State over 93 Northwestern State 88 Oklahoma State over 93 Northwestern State 115 Northern Arizona over 143 Portland State 31 Southern Mississippi over 43 Alabama - Birmingham 30 Syracuse over 45 East Carolina 30 Syracuse over 45 East Carolina 53 Texas A&M over 51 Notre Dame 89 Southern over 157 Tulane 195 Sacramento State over 218 Weber State 85 Colorado State over 125 Wyoming 50-60% chance of victory: 134 Miami - Ohio over 147 Ball State 180 Colgate over 171 Cornell 133 Hawaii over 126 Rice 91 Holy Cross over 73 Yale 187 Howard over 179 Florida A&M 177 Illinois State over 153 Southwest Texas State 177 Illinois State over 153 Southwest Texas State 212 Nicholls State over 200 Samford 32 Oregon State over 22 California - Los Angeles 161 Princeton over 151 Columbia 105 Richmond over 98 Villanova 27 Stanford over 48 Southern California
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net