rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 12 Georgia Tech over 180 Connecticut 57 Toledo over 228 Eastern Michigan 5 Kansas State over 218 Northeast Louisiana 21 Louisiana State over 145 The Citadel 39 Michigan State over 165 Rice 19 Montana over 168 Albany 6 Nebraska over 156 Utah State 11 Ohio State over 115 Kent State 46 Dayton over 239 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 80-90% chance of victory: 35 Air Force over 99 New Mexico 18 Colorado over 113 San Diego State 112 Florida A&M over 230 Morris Brown 95 Bethune - Cookman over 225 Florida Atlantic 123 Fordham over 199 Saint Peter's 62 Georgia Southern over 200 Gardner - Webb 209 Iona over 236 Siena 23 Iowa State over 128 Tennessee Tech 67 Kentucky over 137 Texas - El Paso 73 Lehigh over 201 Georgetown 49 Sacred Heart over 195 Marist 91 Maryland over 157 Akron 152 Massachusetts over 223 Central Connecticut 15 Michigan over 86 Western Michigan 68 Missouri over 134 Ball State 17 North Carolina State over 122 Navy 90 Nevada - Las Vegas over 144 Kansas 120 North Texas over 196 Nicholls State 4 Oklahoma over 32 Alabama 10 Oregon over 64 Fresno State 183 Saint Mary's over 224 Sacramento State 71 Texas Tech over 191 Southern Methodist 41 Minnesota over 184 Southwestern Louisiana 8 Tennessee over 87 Middle Tennessee State 124 Alabama State over 220 Tennessee - Chattanooga 138 Tennessee State over 235 Prairie View 45 Furman over 163 Vanderbilt 38 Washington over 135 San Jose State 33 Washington State over 173 Idaho 70-80% chance of victory: 190 Towson over 212 Morgan State 13 Brigham Young over 43 Hawaii 50 Arkansas over 72 Boise State 203 Tulsa over 234 Arkansas State 51 Auburn over 106 Western Carolina 84 California over 126 New Mexico State 37 Clemson over 79 Louisiana Tech 179 Delaware State over 229 Savannah State 52 Louisville over 159 Duke 75 Duquesne over 108 Bucknell 117 Grambling over 194 Alcorn State 162 James Madison over 181 New Hampshire 125 Monmouth over 187 Lafayette 63 Maine over 92 William & Mary 25 Iowa over 85 Miami - Ohio 211 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 238 Mississippi Valley State 96 North Carolina A&T over 164 Jackson State 77 Texas Christian over 166 Northwestern 110 Northwestern State over 133 Southern 9 Notre Dame over 36 Purdue 82 Delaware over 130 Richmond 231 Saint John's over 237 Canisius 55 South Florida over 88 Northern Illinois 22 Southern Mississippi over 66 Illinois 34 Syracuse over 65 North Carolina 27 Oregon State over 97 Temple 16 Utah over 69 Indiana 40 South Carolina over 109 Virginia 26 Wisconsin over 60 West Virginia 60-70% chance of victory: 83 Alabama - Birmingham over 105 Troy State 47 Arizona State over 59 Central Florida 30 Stanford over 78 Boston College 28 California - Los Angeles over 29 Colorado State 172 California Poly over 171 Northern Arizona 141 Central Michigan over 155 Wyoming 80 Villanova over 116 Colgate 161 Elon over 177 Florida International 1 Florida over 2 Miami - Florida 132 Hampton over 131 Southwest Missouri State 103 Tulane over 136 Houston 174 Texas Southern over 216 Howard 197 Wagner over 226 La Salle 89 Oklahoma State over 101 Northern Iowa 54 Pittsburgh over 53 Texas A&M 154 Stephen F. Austin over 167 Montana State 160 Morehead State over 192 Valparaiso 206 Davidson over 227 Virginia Military 58 McNeese State over 93 Youngstown State 50-60% chance of victory: 150 Holy Cross over 176 Army 210 Baylor over 207 Samford 119 Hofstra over 102 Rhode Island 61 Mississippi over 56 Memphis State 121 Northeastern over 148 Ohio 186 Buffalo over 215 Rutgers 188 Southeast Missouri State over 208 Southern Illinois 98 Wake Forest over 94 East Carolina
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