rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 24 Boston College over 189 Rutgers 80-90% chance of victory: 55 Central Florida over 149 Ohio 43 Cincinnati over 103 Alabama - Birmingham 41 Colorado State over 113 Nevada - Las Vegas 18 Georgia over 47 Georgia Tech 29 Georgia Southern over 85 Bethune - Cookman 7 Alabama over 69 Hawaii 42 Louisville over 173 Houston 56 Marshall over 114 Ball State 46 McNeese State over 110 Montana State 2 Oklahoma over 45 Oklahoma State 3 Southern California over 21 Notre Dame 4 Miami - Florida over 67 Syracuse 16 Tennessee over 54 Kentucky 27 Texas Christian over 112 Memphis State 77 Western Kentucky over 157 Murray State 79 Grambling over 172 Southern 70-80% chance of victory: 39 Mississippi over 70 Mississippi State 9 Texas over 28 Texas A&M 48 Maryland over 64 Wake Forest 95 Montana over 115 Northwestern State 91 New Mexico over 134 Wyoming 57 Northeastern over 75 Furman 52 Villanova over 75 Furman 87 Western Illinois over 109 Eastern Illinois 60-70% chance of victory: 65 Arizona State over 97 Arizona 35 Arkansas over 40 Louisiana State 11 Colorado over 22 Nebraska 132 Middle Tennessee State over 137 Utah State 23 Pittsburgh over 25 West Virginia 66 Southern Mississippi over 72 East Carolina 26 Virginia Tech over 32 Virginia 50-60% chance of victory: 90 Appalachian State over 83 Maine 8 Florida over 19 Florida State 60 Toledo over 59 Bowling Green
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