prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
59% 113 Grambling 31 30.8, 145 Alabama A&M 19 29.0
42% 72 McNeese State 39 25.8, 51 Villanova 28 27.5
18% 57 Western Kentucky 31 13.9, 19 Georgia Southern 28 29.3
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
2 0.85 0 0.00 0 0.00 1 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 3 1 2.0 0.50
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
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