rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 80-90% chance of victory: 2 Kansas State over 36 Arizona State 70-80% chance of victory: 50 Cincinnati over 96 North Texas 40 California - Los Angeles over 87 New Mexico 63 Hawaii over 93 Tulane 19 Oregon State over 34 Pittsburgh 17 Colorado over 48 Wisconsin 31 Arkansas over 84 Minnesota 20 Virginia Tech over 64 Air Force 12 Boise State over 54 Iowa State 6 Texas over 22 Louisiana State 4 Oklahoma over 18 Washington State 1 Miami - Florida over 11 Ohio State 60-70% chance of victory: 24 Texas Tech over 45 Clemson 25 Boston College over 53 Toledo 21 Nebraska over 41 Mississippi 38 Oklahoma State over 58 Southern Mississippi 35 West Virginia over 49 Virginia 37 Oregon over 59 Wake Forest 23 Washington over 33 Purdue 14 Tennessee over 29 Maryland 7 Penn State over 15 Auburn 5 Georgia over 13 Florida State 3 Southern California over 8 Iowa 50-60% chance of victory: 51 Marshall over 52 Louisville 57 Western Kentucky over 62 McNeese State 65 Fresno State over 70 Georgia Tech 44 Colorado State over 46 Texas Christian 10 Florida over 16 Michigan 26 Notre Dame over 28 North Carolina State
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