ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
12 Texas over 196 Baylor 52.5 to 14.0
28 Boise State over 170 San Jose State 45.5 to 14.0
85 Dayton over 235 Butler 45.5 to 7.0
39 California over 166 Arizona 42.0 to 14.0
89 Cincinnati over 221 Army 49.0 to 14.0
1 Oklahoma over 74 Colorado 52.5 to 21.0
47 Louisville over 199 East Carolina 42.0 to 14.0
164 Florida A&M over 234 Norfolk State 38.5 to 7.0
5 Florida State over 62 Wake Forest 35.0 to 10.5
83 Furman over 220 East Tennessee State 35.0 to 3.5
6 Georgia over 117 Alabama - Birmingham 42.0 to 7.0
72 Hawaii over 212 Texas - El Paso 56.0 to 21.0
26 Ohio State over 162 Indiana 35.0 to 10.5
4 Kansas State over 87 Kansas 49.0 to 21.0
14 Miami - Ohio over 177 Kent State 49.0 to 14.0
100 Monmouth over 222 La Salle 38.5 to 7.0
44 McNeese State over 230 Sam Houston State 63.0 to 7.0
43 Southern over 195 Alcorn State 45.5 to 17.5
130 Stephen F. Austin over 226 Southwest Texas State 45.5 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
79 Albany over 167 Stony Brook 38.5 to 21.0
68 Toledo over 182 Ball State 35.0 to 17.5
29 Clemson over 129 North Carolina 38.5 to 17.5
211 Davidson over 232 Austin Peay 31.5 to 17.5
34 North Carolina State over 158 Duke 38.5 to 17.5
219 Eastern Illinois over 236 Tennessee - Martin 35.0 to 14.0
106 Fresno State over 197 Rice 35.0 to 14.0
31 Harvard over 126 Princeton 35.0 to 14.0
23 Minnesota over 141 Illinois 45.5 to 24.5
15 Iowa over 81 Penn State 28.0 to 7.0
91 Grambling over 188 Jackson State 35.0 to 21.0
108 Morehead State over 203 Jacksonville 28.0 to 10.5
102 Montana over 174 Portland State 31.5 to 17.5
21 Delaware over 107 Navy 31.5 to 17.5
32 Nebraska over 94 Iowa State 35.0 to 17.5
118 North Carolina A&T over 202 Howard 31.5 to 10.5
13 Pennsylvania over 60 Yale 38.5 to 21.0
223 Saint Mary's over 239 Southeast Louisiana 45.5 to 24.5
147 San Diego over 205 Marist 45.5 to 31.5
228 Coastal Carolina over 238 Savannah State 24.5 to 7.0
56 South Carolina over 123 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 14.0
71 Southern Illinois over 163 Southwest Missouri State 35.0 to 14.0
136 Towson over 213 Elon 31.5 to 10.5
155 Tulsa over 218 Southern Methodist 28.0 to 10.5
18 Villanova over 65 Massachusetts 31.5 to 14.0
27 Virginia over 119 Troy State 31.5 to 7.0
3 Southern California over 75 Washington 42.0 to 21.0
46 Wofford over 115 Appalachian State 31.5 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
7 Virginia Tech over 48 West Virginia 31.5 to 17.5
11 Maryland over 57 Georgia Tech 24.5 to 14.0
50 Boston College over 64 Notre Dame 24.5 to 17.5
25 Bowling Green over 40 Northern Illinois 31.5 to 24.5
152 Ohio over 216 Buffalo 28.0 to 17.5
42 Colgate over 96 Bucknell 28.0 to 14.0
142 Morgan State over 204 Delaware State 28.0 to 17.5
67 Lehigh over 131 Georgetown 31.5 to 21.0
109 Georgia Southern over 139 The Citadel 28.0 to 21.0
78 Hampton over 135 South Carolina State 28.0 to 17.5
73 Texas Christian over 153 Houston 28.0 to 17.5
101 Western Kentucky over 184 Indiana State 28.0 to 17.5
113 Sacred Heart over 191 Iona 35.0 to 21.0
143 Jacksonville State over 193 Tennessee Tech 31.5 to 17.5
63 Kentucky over 120 Mississippi State 35.0 to 21.0
8 Louisiana State over 16 Auburn 21.0 to 14.0
59 Maine over 104 James Madison 24.5 to 14.0
9 Michigan over 19 Purdue 31.5 to 24.5
84 North Texas over 145 Middle Tennessee State 31.5 to 24.5
22 Texas Tech over 82 Missouri 45.5 to 38.5
98 Nevada - Las Vegas over 146 Brigham Young 21.0 to 10.5
52 Wisconsin over 128 Northwestern 31.5 to 21.0
70 Oregon over 116 Stanford 35.0 to 24.5
217 Saint Peter's over 233 Siena 21.0 to 14.0
20 Oklahoma State over 93 Texas A&M 38.5 to 28.0
33 Utah over 80 New Mexico 24.5 to 10.5
183 Utah State over 214 Arkansas State 35.0 to 21.0
17 Washington State over 38 Oregon State 31.5 to 17.5
58 Western Illinois over 97 Northern Iowa 31.5 to 21.0
154 Youngstown State over 187 Illinois State 21.0 to 14.0
60-70% chance of victory:
35 Alabama over 36 Tennessee 24.5 to 21.0
53 California - Los Angeles over 45 Arizona State 24.5 to 24.5
181 Florida International over 179 Holy Cross 28.0 to 24.5
110 Hofstra over 127 New Hampshire 38.5 to 31.5
185 Idaho over 215 Louisiana - Lafayette 24.5 to 17.5
122 Nevada - Reno over 133 Louisiana Tech 28.0 to 24.5
112 Northwestern State over 114 Nicholls State 35.0 to 31.5
51 Pittsburgh over 61 Syracuse 31.5 to 24.5
140 Rhode Island over 156 William & Mary 35.0 to 31.5
161 Richmond over 169 Virginia Military 24.5 to 21.0
151 Robert Morris over 165 Wagner 21.0 to 17.5
157 Sacramento State over 159 Eastern Washington 35.0 to 31.5
209 Central Connecticut over 227 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 24.5 to 21.0
198 Southeast Missouri State over 201 Murray State 21.0 to 17.5
134 Temple over 132 Rutgers 35.0 to 35.0
172 Western Carolina over 210 Tennessee - Chattanooga 24.5 to 21.0
95 Memphis State over 144 Tulane 35.0 to 31.5
176 Valparaiso over 186 Drake 38.5 to 35.0
148 Idaho State over 192 Weber State 28.0 to 24.5
54 Marshall over 105 Western Michigan 35.0 to 31.5
50-60% chance of victory:
175 Central Michigan over 194 Central Florida 24.5 to 24.5
86 Connecticut over 76 Akron 35.0 to 31.5
160 Brown over 190 Cornell 21.0 to 17.5
121 Columbia over 149 Dartmouth 28.0 to 24.5
77 Lafayette over 66 Fordham 28.0 to 28.0
30 Mississippi over 24 Arkansas 28.0 to 28.0
229 Mississippi Valley State over 224 Texas Southern 21.0 to 17.5
103 Montana State over 90 Northern Arizona 17.5 to 17.5
189 New Mexico State over 206 Northeast Louisiana 31.5 to 31.5
178 Samford over 171 Tennessee State 31.5 to 28.0
111 Wyoming over 137 San Diego State 28.0 to 24.5
55 South Florida over 88 Southern Mississippi 17.5 to 17.5
124 Alabama A&M over 125 Alabama State 28.0 to 28.0
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